Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 117.480979 134.710896 154.501678 179.122205 209.219984 245.197496 2.920410e+02
2025-05-18 91.921084 112.968867 139.559698 176.358495 227.190981 296.891485 4.033863e+02
2025-05-25 79.148937 101.833680 132.395692 177.990913 246.939008 352.205592 5.361555e+02
2025-06-01 69.861745 93.014131 125.765136 177.587269 261.929591 403.014167 6.812906e+02
2025-06-08 62.341510 85.261402 118.964687 174.912567 271.769075 447.229524 8.341218e+02
2025-06-15 58.576669 82.293158 118.561498 181.828216 298.793311 530.184486 1.111307e+03
2025-06-22 52.425861 74.914047 110.175327 173.702809 296.410502 554.350712 1.266266e+03
2025-06-29 48.610736 70.713377 106.300301 172.678024 307.205627 610.046998 1.544600e+03
2025-07-06 45.468107 67.231238 103.137937 172.324341 319.141461 672.734918 1.897856e+03
2025-07-13 44.352848 66.913128 105.279612 182.298276 355.728484 812.857959 2.680430e+03
2025-07-20 43.681728 67.239616 108.547633 195.046272 402.444886 1006.317629 4.010818e+03
2025-07-27 41.235384 64.264674 105.419539 193.919995 414.881956 1102.509571 5.046189e+03
2025-08-03 39.108809 61.873876 103.511505 196.050031 439.224345 1264.770467 7.050627e+03
2025-08-10 36.554051 58.523838 99.455883 192.877638 448.940028 1385.231141 9.291373e+03
2025-08-17 34.804988 56.474914 97.702146 194.714458 474.074400 1591.915612 1.369847e+04
2025-08-24 33.014142 54.183269 95.186074 194.259815 492.303684 1787.997272 1.990366e+04
2025-08-31 31.170380 51.637290 91.869395 191.248434 501.494199 1951.936441 2.798050e+04
2025-09-07 30.415118 51.106385 92.707681 199.038222 551.011512 2406.118167 5.618022e+04
2025-09-14 28.365071 47.898069 87.482167 189.886985 536.093478 2444.343389 7.046319e+04
2025-09-21 27.105129 46.161301 85.309012 188.733992 551.616527 2720.465364 1.209421e+05
2025-09-28 26.002729 44.658819 83.508428 188.336123 570.369653 3058.316073 2.371092e+05
2025-10-05 25.773213 44.893045 85.627791 199.568125 643.212558 4025.960101 1.364133e+06
2025-10-12 25.708252 45.454800 88.564473 213.959361 739.811548 5592.071607 2.376720e+08